Relegation 2020

Well OK, everyone knows about the two Manchester clubs, Liverpool and the 3 big London clubs (Arsenal, Chelsea and Spurs), in no particular order. However, for those of us who support the other teams in the Premiership, the threat of relegation is very real. As a Southampton (Saints) fan, I have spent most of the last few seasons reading the league table from the bottom up.

The promoted teams

Most years one of two of the clubs coming up from the Championship go straight back down. Sometimes, I think the gulf between the Premiership and Championship is greater than that between League Two and the National League (formerly known as the Conference). Last season, Fulham tried to by their survival but failed miserably. By contrast, Cardiff strengthened their team the least and still went back down but finished higher than Fulham.

This year, Aston Villa spent the most and, I think they stand the best chance of survival because they have a large fan base, even through their years in the lower division. Football, being what it is, has proved better pundits than me wrong but yes, Villa should stay up. Should!

Sheffield United and Norwich have acquired some new players but would probably be happy to finish 17th and must be amongst the front runners for the drop.

The Usual Suspects

Yes, Southampton are in the mix and were not safe until a week before the end of the season. Yes, there are some very good players at the club but central defence and a proven goalscorer that plays more than a dozen games remain a constant worry. The club seems to be a magnet for strikers that are proven goalscorers but injury-prone. If certain players avoid the treatment table, a mid-table finish might be possible.

Newcastle have had a lot of off-field problems to add to their on-field ones. Many pundits have tipped them for the drop and, yes, I have included them in my list of teams to watch.

Crystal Palace have (so far) kept their best player but lost a key defender. Regulars in the bottom third of the table, along with Newcastle and Southampton, they are also vulnerable.

I tipped Brighton last season as a team that was too good to go down but possible outsiders for the drop. They nearly dropped. As their main goalscorer is a year older and more injury-prone, I now consider that they are bad enough to be in danger this season.

Dark Horses

Most years, a team that we consider too good to go down does go down or come uncomfortably close. Outside of the top 6 clubs, Everton and Wolves, the remaining 12 teams will feel relieved once they reach the "magic" 40 points which is considered  enough to avoid the drop. Having said that, West Ham once went down on 41 points and last season only 38 was enough. 

The first outside bet for relegation is Bournemouth. Eddie Howe has been brilliant in keeping them up and really deserves a chance at a top club. However, the club does not have the financial clout of most other teams in the Premiership and are an outside risk.

Burnley were in the relegation mix last year but I think they will do better this year, or will they? Like many teams in the bottom third, they lack a really good striker.

Whilst I expect Leicester to stay up, they have lost key players over the last 2 years and some of their best players are getting older. They should stay up but will probably do worse than they did last season.

Summary

Sorry Sheffield and Norwich fans but you are on my critically endangered list.

Much as I hate the idea, I think the 3rd relegation place will go to Southampton or Newcastle, so they are endangered.

Vulnerable are Aston Villa, Brighton and Crystal Palace.

Burnley, Leicester and Bournemouth will have poor seasons and any could finish in the bottom 6 but will probably be celebrating their end-of-season party in February.

August 2019

August 26th 2225 GMT

I did a half-hour watch for Perseid meteors and took some constellation shots of the region hoping to catch one.

I saw one of about magnitude 2 travelling north east at 2243 GMT.

I caught a very short trail in this shot but it was definitely not a Perseid.

I combined 23 frames to obtain this shot of Cepheus.

I caught the constellation of Andromeda well but to remove the background glow, I lost the Andromeda Galaxy (M31).

August 24th 0000 GMT

I watched for Perseids for half an hour and took some photos of the area. I didn't think I caught any on camera but I saw four, three of which were Perseids. The brightest was a magnitude 1 sporadic. It was officially the last day of the shower but I was quite pleased with the ones I saw.

The first 3 frames stacked nicely for Perseus.

Frames 4 to 40 produced a nice Cassiopeia.

The final set of shots caught Cygnus nicely,

I finished with the Moon with my DSLR at 300mm focal length, ISO 100 and 1/200 second exposure.

August 23rd 2140 GMT

I looked in vain for a last minute Perseid. Conditions were rather poor, so I did not see any. I took some frames around Cassiopeia and Cygnus, just in case. They were ruined by poor focus and cloud but the first "sighter" showed Aquila, Delphinus and Sagitta.

April 23rd 1320 GMT

The Sun looked quiet, even in hydrogen alpha light but I took a few shots anyway.

August 20th 0400 GMT

It was dawn but the waning gibbous moon was high in the south west. I took some frames at 300mm focal length, ISO 100 and 1/400 second exposure.

August 14^th 0115 GMT

Most of the sky was covered with cloud. I took some frames of the Moon at ISO 100, 300mm focal length and 1/1000 second exposure. Unfortunately, I could not extract anything useful from the frames.

August 13^th 0100 GMT

Although I was well tired by this time, I went out for 20 minutes. It was much more clear and I aimed my cameras west of the radiant. I saw one bright meteor of about zero magnitude flash towards Taurus. I was feeling rather philosophical, wondering how many more times I would see the Perseid shower before I die. It was not just how many years I would live but also weather.

OK here's Perseus again. No meteors.

No meteors but the Konica Minolta produced the best Perseus shots.

August 13^th 2300 GMT

Conditions had cleared but I still needed to move the cameras to catch what clear sky was available in the east and north east. I saw 7 Perseid meteors of which four were brighter than Jupiter with the brightest being about magnitude -6. Without having any evidence, that estimate equalled a sporadic meteor that I had seen in Dusseldorf in 2013. The bright ones came in quick succession between 2330 GMT and 2336 GMT.

A quick look through the camera images showed that I caught one fireball on camera and one about magnitude 1 that I did not spot visually.

An hour later, more cloud came in and I was feeling cold.

I created a photo from the first set of frames of Perseus.

I caught a Perseid near Cassiopeia.

When I moved to Ursa Minor, I did not catch any meteors but got one of my better shots of the constellation.

Similar for Cassiopeia.

Back to Perseus.

The space between Perseus and Cassiopeia contains  shower radiant.

I finished with no more meteors and Perseus.

I found a bright fireball on the images from the antique Konica Minolta.

August 12^th 2100 GMT

I went out armed with my Nikon D3200 at my meteor detecting setting of 16mm focal length, ISO 6400 and 8 seconds exposure. I used my antique Konica Minolta DSLR at 18mm focal length, ISO 3200 (all it goes up to!!) and 8 seconds exposure. The plan was to have one camera taking photos while the other developed the photo just taken. Once I got the rhythm, I was getting only short gaps between shots.

Unfortunately, I did not see any meteors and it clouded over completely by 2125 GMT. Rain soon followed! I could not use any images for constellation shots, due to twilight and cloud.

August 12^th 1410 GMT

The Sun was quiet in hydrogen alpha light but I was at home and there was a period of clear sky between the showers. I took a few shots with my PST and DSLR just in case. I actually caught some minor detail.

August 10th 2120 GMT

The moon was waxing gibbous and I took some frames with my DSLR at 300mm focal length, ISO 400 and 1/4000 second exposure.

I then tried a video recording of the Perseid shower by aiming my camera at Cassiopeia, again! It failed miserably!

August 7th 2100 GMT

I had a short session looking for Perseid meteors. I saw a bight (mag 0) one at 2117GMT but did not catch it on camera. Early indications were that I caught a few stars. I stacked the best 20 images to get another image of Cassiopeia.

August 7th 2015 GMT

The Moon was above a cloudless horizon and I took a few frames at the same settings as the evening before.

Aug 6th 2100 GMT

I took some frames of the Moon with my DSLR at 300mm focal length, ISO 100 and 1/400 second exposure.

Aug 3rd 2240 GMT

I had been checking the sky from early evening and, finally, there were some clear patches. As you might expect, I ignored Jupiter and Saturn and went for meteors. I saw a bright one at 2255 GMT flash below Cassiopeia.

However, as the cloud was moving, I aimed my camera in various directions to catch the clearer bits of sky. I used 16mm focal length, ISO 6400 and 8 seconds exposure and too some dark frames after I finished the shoot.

I did not see any Perseids but caught a sporadic meteor near Hercules.

My first set of frames showed Cepheus.

The second showed Cassiopeia.

The third showed Hercules.

The fourth showed Cygnus and Lyra, with Sagltta and the Coathanger asterism near the bottom.

The fifth was aimed at Pegasus but was too near the horizon and a streetlight.

The sixth caught Ursa Minor.

The seventh and final shot was another of Cassiopeia.